Monday 15 November 2010

Ladies and other gentlefolk - Here is your Formula One World Champion


Yes, one of the men who I didn't give much hope to with 2 races to go, Red Bull's Sebastian Vettel won dominantly in Abu Dhabi and as such took the 2010 Formula One World Drivers Championship in a style not seen since the glory days of Schumacher and Hakkinen in the late 90's-early 2000's. Third coming into the fight at the final race he and 4th placed outsider Lewis Hamilton looked faster than the two favourites Fernando Alonso and Vettel's team-mate Mark Webber all weekend and proved it with a pair of dominant displays in Qualifying and the race.

Vettel was lucky to come out just ahead of Kamui Kobyashi at the pit stops and then had clear road with which to push, be calm and ease up to the long running Jenson Button. Once Button has pitted his team nervously told him to keep it on the road but not telling him why thanks to the appalling torture of not telling him that a race win would mean the World Championship due to the awful performances of Webber and Alonso (more on this later). The genuine emotion the world felt when Vettel heard he was World Champion was genuinely nice and what was even nicer was Hamilton and Button being on the podium with him, as if it was like the previous 2 world champions passing the torch onto their young successor.

Speaking of the previous two world champions Team Britannia (Mclaren) had a good weekend, gained 2nd the in Constructors and an excellent double podium even if it wasn't what they came into the weekend looking for:

Hamilton once again showed great pace in the desert almost matching Vettel if he were not caught behind a stunning Robert Kubica drive. His pass on Kobayashi was vital to coming second but his tense fight with Kubica was perhaps the sign that he came into the race having to do too much and rely on a stupid amount of luck to become World Champion. He can nonetheless look back on the season largely happy with his dangerous overtaking ability earning him many points and in Australia, Canada and Spa the 3 best drives of his career to date.

Button had the relatively pressure-less job of just driving a good race and earning as many points as possible. He did just that all weekend and earned 3rd place with a good lap to put him alongside Alonso in qualifying and then jumping him at the start and being largely on the pace all race plus an ambitious strategy put him out of touch with the safety car stoppers (more on them later) but still in touch with his team mate for good podium to round off a good first season with Mclaren which would include his best victory to date in Australia.

On a quick aside note both Mclaren drivers have been moaning a lot during the races about their car. It could be to do with the fact that Hamilton's and Button's radios were shown more than anyone else's at level of 6-1 for the most part but they were always unhappy about something on the car despite at times having awesome pace. Maybe everyone else is like this with their team but all we can hear are Mclaren so maybe Hamilton and Button could just need to chill a bit before they begin to be seen in the same light as Alonso (I will go on to explain this later)

This championship result could not have been possible had it not been for the accident involving the ever improving (and in this case very magnanimous) 7 times world champion Michael Schumacher and the, hopefully, outgoing Tonio Liuzzi. It was a nasty accident after Schumacher got caught on the outside of turn 6 and got a Force India almost in his face. This accident gave us 5 laps of safety car which then created the opportunity for 3 people to get into the title fight and ruin it for the two favourites:

Nico Rosberg, Jaime Algersuari and most crucially I feel Vitaly Petrov all made their mandatory stops on lap 2 under the safety car which at the time put them at the back of the field and seemed a little bit daft. But then after dispatching of the new teams and the lacklustre Buemi, on lap 15 Mark Webber and Massa came into the pits and came out behind Algersuari (before what looked like a radio message consisting of the words 'Who pays your bills little Spanish Man' made Jaime move over for Webber). Alonso then responded after Webber had started to light up the timing screens by pitting and coming back out ahead of Mark Webber and crucially behind Renault's Vitaly Petrov. For the rest of the race Alonso and Webber put endless pressure on one of the most crash prone drivers this season and in the process both ran off the track many times trying to pass him but Petrov held his nerve, gaining his second best finish of the season with his best drive. Alonso and Webber were not aggressive enough in their attack of the Russian and in my opinion bottled it when it mattered the most.

It wasn't just Petrov that ruined the championship for them. Had one or both of them gotten ahead of the Russian they would have had to overtake Robert Kubica who was driving one of the races of his life ahead of Hamilton and eventually just ahead of Petrov, which to be fair to Petrov who put in the race of his life, would have been an even more fruitless task. Furthermore even if they had cleared the yellow cars they would had to have dealt with Nico Rosberg's Mercedes, which it turned out on race day was illogically fast in a straight line to get within a place of Vettel and the Mclaren.

It was a race weekend both Fernando Alonso and Mark Webber will never want to remember as quite frankly they did not drive like the championship contenders that they looked like earlier in the season. With an overly conservative tyre strategy, not much relative pace throughout the weekend and not being able to pass a car that is realistically about half a second to a second a lap slower than both of them.

But worse was to come from the Spanish Double World Champion. Coming out of turn one on the parade lap, while just under a mile in front was the genuine emotion and overall dignity from Sebastian Vettel, Fernando Alonso pulled alongside Petrov and had a go at him for being overly aggressive and not moving out of his way like an understudy and costing him the championship. To which Petrov should have replied with a 'F*** you Alonso I have my own race to run and I do not have to bow down to you just because you are Fernando Alonso' but calmly and maturely gave post race interview just talking about his strategy and how he was happy to hold Alonso behind him for so long.

Now there wasn't just the championship runners and Petrov who attracted a lot of attention in this race there were two other drivers who made me very happy to watch their progress:
  • As I said earlier it was a stunning race for Robert Kubica. I have always been a big fan, since his fantastic points scoring (although eventually DQ'd) finish in his first race in Budapest 06, his great first podium in Monza in the same year and his first win in Montreal two years later. He had a bad qualifying for some reason, then had a bad start which dropped him to 14th at turn 1 but thanks to 2 great overtakes on Sutil and Kobayashi, a great drive holding off Hamilton and a moment of luck not slipping into the barriers in the pit exit turned a potentially disappointing end to the season into an indicator of what I have always known and the world is slowly catching onto: He is a man that can challenge for and (in my view) take World Championships given a Ferrari and a Red Bull (which could very easily happen one day).
  • Jaime Algersuari for me has been one of the major characters on the grid this season. In his first full season he started off very non-descript in Bahrain but has since had a season where has been in many battles with good drivers, including a major scrap in Australia with Michael Schumacher and his first championship points in a great fight with Nico Hulkenberg in Malaysia. His pit stop may not have won him many plaudits for keeping behind championship challengers but for 40 laps he held Fillepe Massa's Ferrari, a car with a good F-Duct and the same engine which should really have creamed him in the second sector of thee track but after a calm and assured drive he kept the Ferrari driver behind him to earn 2 more drivers points and assured his F1 career at least for the next 2 years where hopefully he can move to a better team which can give him better cars.
Now that (in my view) one of the greatest Seasons in F1 history has drawn to a close now a look forward to what we can expect with 2011:
  • Adjustable Rear Wings
  • The return of KERS
  • The removal of the F-Duct
  • Pirelli replacing Bridgestone as the tire supplier
  • Bahrain changing back to it's original Layout after the bore-fest that was the Endurance Layout.
  • The Indian Grand Prix (which looks set to have the second highest average speed on the calender behind Monza
  • Now 5 (6 if a certain rubbish rally driver decides he wants to come back and have a shower) World Champions lining up on the grid.
  • Lotus heading into the midfield with Red Bull transmission and Renault power.
  • The (probable) arrival of the two top men in GP2 with Maldonado looking likely to go to Williams and Perez already signed to join Sauber with Kobayashi.
With all that to look forward to and winter testing the question now remains: Who is actually going to be on the grid for next World Championship? I have my own views on who should be so what is coming up is a list mixing secured drives with drivers who i'd like to see in the sport after the unfair, financially influenced, dismissal of Hulkenberg from Williams all with new accurate matching up car numbers:

Red Bull Renault: 1. Sebastian Vettel 2. Robert Kubica
Mclaren Mercedes: 3. Lewis Hamilton 4. Jenson Button
Ferrari: 5. Fernando Alonso 6. Filiepe Massa
Mercedes: 7. Nico Rosberg 8. Michael Schumacher
Renault: 9. Vitaly Petrov 10. Nico Hulkenberg
Williams Cosworth: 11. Rubens Barrichello 12. Pastor Maldonado (GP2 champion)
Force India Mercedes: 14. Adrian Sutil 15. Paul Di Resta (British DTM star)
Sauber Ferrari: 16. Kamui Kobayashi 17. Sergio Perez (GP2 runner up)
Toro Rosso Ferrari: 18. Sebastian Buemi 19 Jaime Algersuari
Lotus Renault: 20. Hekki Kovalinen 21. Karun Chandok
Virgin Cosworth: 22. Timo Glock 23. Lucas Di Grassi
Hispania 24. Bruno Senna 25. Christian Klien

This list loses a few of drivers that have impressed me the least including the rather accident prone Tonio Liuzzi and the utterly hopeless Sakon Yamamoto but it also loses some good drivers and recognisable faces in the sport, in particular Pedro Dela Rosa, Nick Heidfeld, Jarno Trulli.

You'll also notice that I left out Mark Webber in that list. While it has all but been confirmed he will not be leaving the team I don't think overall, despite a few crushing drives leading from the front this year that he is actually good to challenge for what he so desperately wants: To be World Champion like his team-mate before him. He is 35, having been in the sport for 8 years, with only 2 at all competitive cars to his name, his career has basically become a catalogue of bad team choice and team-mates either soundly beating him or generally making his life more difficult. On top of that while Red Bull may not have treated him quite as 'equally' as they treated Vettel sometimes he did not need to put a lot of media pressure on team right when A) It's trying to repair the image of a team that treats it's drivers equally and B) In this situation more importantly trying to fight for both drivers to have a chance at the drivers championship and for the team to secure the constructors championship. This season for Mark Webber has effectively been sullied as a smear campaign against Sebastian Vettel and the rest of team and that, more than his crash in Korea and his stupid driving in Australia, has cost him any chance in his career to be the World Drivers Champion. At his age he could find a drive somewhere else but I am beginning to think that he should just retire, savour the fact that he came good in the end and challenged the best in the world in his efforts to become World Champion.

After this endless entry it is time for me to leave all you Grand Prix fans and thank all of you that have kept track of this blog as irregular as it has been over the course of the year. I shall be back after the final Winter practise session with my thoughts as to how the season ahead might pan out.

Goodbye and sorry for wasting your time.

Nick

Thursday 4 November 2010

Now it gets Interesting.


















Here we go. Formula One 2010 is no doubt a classic season with some brilliant racing and 5 drivers in 3 vastly different but brilliant Grand Prix cars going for the championship with 2 races to go in the season in the next 11 days:

The Red Bull Renault RB6, piloted by Sebastian Vettel and Mark Webber, are fast everywhere with great overall downforce but fragile and lacking in momentum due to a race of bad luck in Korea.

The Ferrari F10, with Fillepe Massa backing the man with Momentum and driving better than he ever has in Fernando Alonso, with a car that is fast in medium and high speed corners but not as fast as the Red Bull overall but can keep up on the whole over a race distance.

The Mclaren Mercedes MP4/25, the fastest in a straight line thanks to the soon to be outlawed 'F-Duct', driven by British interests and previous 2 world champions Jenson Button and Lewis Hamilton who can stay with Ferrari and Red Bull but struggling for all around luck and grip in high speed corners.

The championship picture looks as follows:

1: Fernando Alonso: 231 points
2: Mark Webber: 220
3: Lewis Hamilton: 210
4: Sebastian Vettel: 206
5: Jenson Button: 189

As you can see plainly Car No.1 Jenson Button is 42 points off with 50 left on the table thanks to the new points system. He needs at least a win and a 2nd place with the rest of the title contenders not finishing either race for him to retain his crown. He is not going to give it up because it is feasible but it is almost impossible due to the mechanical reliability of his car, which Hamilton drives and the raw pace of Alonso and The Bulls reliability pending. He is looking at the possibility of being placed into a supporting role for the 2008 champion because of his poor race in Korea. He is almost completely out of it and needs to produce the 2 races of his life to stay in the title hunt.

Sebastian Vettel is piloting the Red Bull and is seen by many as a man who will one day win the F1 World Championship. He has the driving momentum as his drive in Korea was flawless in difficult conditions but then the fragility of his car (the latest problem being a Renault engine failure) has cost him 3 maybe even 4 wins this season and now he is 25 points behind championship leader Alonso and 14 points behind his team-mate. He may be forced into a supporting role due to the problem that both of them are challenging for the title and could therefore take points off each other. He has curbed his crashing problems which he suffered during the European season (Spa and Turkey specifically) and is driving his best but I can not see him coming back from as far back as he is in the championship war.

The No.2 car, Lewis Hamilton's Mclaren has been involved in more actual on incidents than any of the championship contenders due to crashes with Webber, Massa and the Barcelona tire wall but he has put on some of his best drives (such as in Spa, Melbourne and Montreal) and has put himself into title contention thanks to a mixture of on the whole controlled driving and some brilliant overtaking moves (just ask Nico Rosberg for example). He is the best of the top 5 drivers (see further down for whom I think is the best Driver in F1) and has momentum thanks to a strong finish in Korea and engines with a decent amount of life left in them. He could use consistency and good driving to come good at the end of the season and potentially steal from under Red Bull's and Ferrari's collective noses.

Mark Webber has overall been the Bull on Parade this season. With more finishes than anyone else, by far his best driving ever and the fastest car on the grid his accident in Korea could be a real stop to the momentum which could have taken him to the crown with consistency. He could be down on confidence and from history when he is low on confidence luck can go against him. I can see him not winning this World Championship despite this being his best chance unless he gets a pair of good results in Brazil and Abu Dhabi and the next man I am going to talk about has some problems in the next 2 Grand Prix.

Fernando Alonso is the man with the most momentum and a championship lead to savour. He has been driving brilliantly since the championship has left Europe. Taking on these 4 drivers would be no easy task for any of the greats and Alonso has a chance for putting his name alongside names like Fangio, Brabham, Stewart, Lauda, Piquet, Prost, Senna and Schumacher as people who have won 3 or more World titles with 2 decent finishes in the final 2 races. However Alonso has another potential problem: His engines are old and 2 of them have blown up all together back in Malayasia and Practise 1 in China. He could suffer engine troubles which could make everything change in terms of the points standings. He has to manage those engines carefully and hope that he can nurse them to the end of the season. The next 2 races are places he has not tended to do well in (minus his 2nd place in Interlagos in 2008) but that car is balanced and he has an already agreed trump card to take points off his rivals in the form of Fillepe Massa.

It is not just these 5 drivers who have a lot to fight for this season:

  • Kubica is fighting to get a victory in car I am convinced is fast enough to capitalise should luck go his way. He is the stand-out driver of the year and has become, in my view, the best Driver in Formula One and could be a spoiler in someone's title challenge.
  • There is a big fight for 9th place in the championship between Michael Schumacher, Rubens Barrichello and Adrian Sutil and all it takes is a retirement from the 7 times champion to open the fight for the place back up.
  • Lotus, Virgin and Hispania are still fighting to be in the top 10 of the constructors and the pay check that goes with it. But with a Hispania which has no updates since Bahrain and Virgin who are unreliable it looks Lotus (and particularly Hekki Kovalinen) who look most likely to steal in and gain a point when things go wrong for others.
  • Nick Hiedfeld, Vitaly Petrov, Tonio Liuzzi and Nico Hulkenberg are looking to upstage their team mates to secure a drive for next season as their places are all in doubt due to the potentially unknown status of Sutil next season. A very strong performance by any one of these drivers can show bosses from various teams that they are able to cut in F1 with bosses looking to developing drivers with money such as GP2 champion Pastor Maldonado and GP2 and future Sauber runner up Sergio Perez.
With Brazil coming up shortly I am going to come up with one of my un-famously incorrect predictions for qualifying and the race. As per usual Qualifying will be on the left and the race results will be on the right, if a driver has retired then I will place (ret.) next to their name and if a driver finishes where they qualify there will only be one name.

  1. Webber/Hamilton
  2. Vettel/Alonso
  3. Alonso/Webber
  4. Button
  5. Hamilton/Massa
  6. Massa/Kubica
  7. Rosberg/Schumacher
  8. Kubica/Rosberg
  9. Schumacher
  10. Kobayashi/Barrichello
  11. Hulkenberg/Kobayashi
  12. Sutil/Algersuari
  13. Barrichello/Heidfeld
  14. Algersuari/Liuzzi
  15. Petrov/Kovalinen
  16. Heidfeld / Sutil(ret.)
  17. Buemi/Glock (ret.)
  18. Liuzzi/Senna (ret.)
  19. Kovalinen/ Di Grassi (ret.)
  20. Glock/Trulli (ret.)
  21. Senna/Buemi (ret.)
  22. Trulli/Vettel (ret.)
  23. Di Grassi/Petrov (ret.)
  24. Yamamoto (ret.)
Interlagos looks set to have yet more wet conditions and as such should provide plenty of entertainment on a track which has many overtaking opportunities and potential for accidents and Safety Cars which can change the game throughout the field as one of the greatest World Championship battles in history draws to an end.

Sorry I will let you get on with your day in a moment but I will leave you with one extra thought:

The Renault is currently just about on a par with the top 3 teams on pace and Robert Kubica has for the most part always gone well at Interlagos.

Quick plug: www.myspace.com/nickalexiswebb

Anyone who reads this and hasen't already should check out the music i've posted on a myspace of all my best material I have composed on my own.

Cheers Ladies and Gentlemen

Nick

Musing-edit

Klien is driving this weekend. He should really have been racing the whole season with Chandok while Senna should really have driven for Lotus.

'OH MY GOD, THEY MIGHT HAVE RUINED KENNY!' 'YOU BASTARDS!'



Spoiler Warning! If you haven't watched the very latest South Park don't read this!



Next week is the 3rd part of South Park's second 3 part story. Centring the South Park boys new game as super heroes featuring 'The Coon' (Eric Cartman) leading a group of super heroes including Timmy, Stan, Kyle, Token and some random kid called Bradley (who have all been identified as 5 of the heroes) and Mysterion and Mosquito fighting an evil cult born out of the BP oil spillage. There were only 3 kids who were in the running for being Mysterion: Clyde Donavon (offically the most attractive boy in the 4th grade in the list), Craig Tucker (the boy who saved the world from the Furry Death in Pandemic) and the oddly missing Kenny.

About 5 minutes into the second parter 'Mysterion Rises' the biggest storyline curve ball in South Park since Cartman grounding Scott Tenerman's parents into Chilli about 9 years ago:

Kenny is Mysterion.



WOW. I genuinely wasn't expecting that. Watching the start of the episode I (and many others like me I think) would have been suspecting Clyde or Craig as they are more quiet, involved in less storyline and have somewhat more Mysteriousness about themselves. However it does all fit in if you take who Coon suspects Kenny is not in his personal list (although he is on Professor Chaos' (Butters) list but he mentions Stan and Kyle as the immediate prime suspects. Kenny was not on the radar in this storyline at all which made it all the more brilliant to have him be the masked crusader.

However now here is the moment which may well change South Park from this point onwards:

The revelation that Kenny can't die and just wakes up in his bed the next day after each death is a startling one. It brings an element of as close to Common Sense and Matt Stone and Trey Parker can make it to. It explains Kenny's many deaths and how he is back in the next episode. It show how Mysterion is the biggest hero and brings full circle in my view one of the most recently underused and brilliantly funny characters in all of Satirical Television.

However there is something which worries me. Despite this being a stunning piece of writing and great episode all around (minus Captain Hindsight, who isn't a great character in my view) one of, if not THE big hook of all South Park has been opened up. Where do Stone and Parker go from there with not only Kenny, but everyone else? Will Kenny tell people about the curse? How will Stan, Kyle and Cartman react?

Next week's episode, the end of the 3 part story arc looks set to be one of the most important episodes of South Park in all 14 series and 12 years of the shows running. I'm looking forward to it and would welcome some comments as to what people think could happen next.

Or if you think I'm sad you can say that too. :)

Peace out guys.
Nick